Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.018253 0.023124 0.029657 0.039393 0.054182 0.077047 0.118055
2024-12-22 0.012900 0.018035 0.026044 0.040524 0.069058 0.132175 0.329294
2024-12-29 0.010212 0.015135 0.023562 0.040907 0.082477 0.208955 0.982878
2025-01-05 0.008267 0.012697 0.020735 0.038764 0.088518 0.285924 2.997742
2025-01-12 0.007048 0.011146 0.018954 0.037823 0.097200 0.409813 19.122700
2025-01-19 0.006446 0.010537 0.018781 0.040579 0.121887 0.784571 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006090 0.010295 0.019278 0.045470 0.165161 2.098359 NaN
2025-02-02 0.005776 0.010060 0.019711 0.050602 0.225553 8.696482 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005289 0.009373 0.018869 0.051057 0.261634 36.109151 NaN
2025-02-16 0.004885 0.008797 0.018155 0.051643 0.305211 842.229610 NaN
2025-02-23 0.004522 0.008251 0.017391 0.051662 0.348706 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004093 0.007502 0.015927 0.048037 0.340429 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003758 0.006973 0.015106 0.047560 0.389551 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003513 0.006622 0.014726 0.049101 0.496552 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003274 0.006251 0.014193 0.049604 0.607082 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.002996 0.005746 0.013151 0.046813 0.620071 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002785 0.005379 0.012458 0.045592 0.684761 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002689 0.005278 0.012571 0.049176 1.033855 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002639 0.005284 0.013032 0.055599 1.990742 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002585 0.005272 0.013434 0.062420 4.426283 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002458 0.005052 0.013058 0.063029 6.566544 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002344 0.004855 0.012725 0.063814 10.525631 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002233 0.004654 0.012336 0.063839 16.649920 NaN NaN